Navigation
Motto

 

"One should either write ruthlessly what one believes to be the truth, or else shut up."

Arthur Koestler 

« 2018 Predictions | Main | Rinat Akhmetshin: Not a Russian or a Spy »
Sunday
Dec312017

Recap of My 2017 Predictions

My predictions for 2017 were not that good. 

1 I predicted that China would tighten up on its cash outflows. They are doing so. 

3. I thought that the market would basically go sideways this year, with a 10% decline the most likely outcome. Boy, was I wrong. The market went up substantially. This makes no sense, but it is what happened. 

5. Obamacare was not abolished as I thought. There is now no reason for a young person to buy Obama care as there is no longer a penalty for not doing so. Hopefully a high deductible policy will become available. Such a policy did not follow the Obamacare guidelines so no one offered one. I hope this will change. 

7. There was no settlement in Ukraine. I don't think the US wants one. Since the US is supplying the Ukrainian army now, a settlement looks unlikely. 

9. Inflation continues to be low, as I predicted. The infrastructure program was more than modest, it was never passed. The tax cut was bigger than I thought, but it has not taken effect yet. 

So 2017 was not a good year for my predictions. While 3/5 is not too bad, the big miss on the stock market overshadows everything else. 

PrintView Printer Friendly Version

EmailEmail Article to Friend

Reader Comments

There are no comments for this journal entry. To create a new comment, use the form below.

PostPost a New Comment

Enter your information below to add a new comment.

My response is on my own website »
Author Email (optional):
Author URL (optional):
Post:
 
Some HTML allowed: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <code> <em> <i> <strike> <strong>