Entries by [Positive Dennis] (1264)
The Numbers Don't Makes Sense (Corona Virus)
Tuesday, March 31, 2020 at 5:09PM Fauci thinks that 100,000 to 200,000 will die from the virus. Sounds horrible. But according to the CDC 2,813,503 died last year. Here are the numbers:
- Heart disease: 647,457
- Cancer: 599,108
- Accidents (unintentional injuries): 169,936
- Chronic lower respiratory diseases: 160,201
- Stroke (cerebrovascular diseases): 146,383
- Alzheimer’s disease: 121,404
- Diabetes: 83,564
- Influenza and Pneumonia: 55,672
- Nephritis, nephrotic syndrome and nephrosis: 50,633
- Intentional self-harm (suicide): 47,173
So 3 million will die instead of 2.8 million. This is bad, but not the apocalypse.
Fauci also said that the death rate was similar to the flu. If so, that means 100 million to 200 million Americans will get it.
I support the shutdown, but it has to stop sooner rather than later. If efforts are being made to reduce the mask shortage and we can all have masks, then the shutdown can end.
Health Where Are The #$&@*/%-+ Tests
Sunday, March 29, 2020 at 1:13PM There is still a shortage of tests. In the hardest hit areas like LA and NY they only test if a positive test result will impact the treatment. The doctors just assume you have it and treat accordingly. What this means is that we have no idea how fast it is preading; we have no idea what the total infection rate is; we have no idea what the death rate is. This is true even where they test a lot like Korea. There is no antibody test, so we have no idea how many recovered patients there are. This will greatly effect the death rate because the current test only tests for active infection.
I still think the death rate will be a little lower once all these factors are taken into account. Worryingly, the Korea death rate is rising and is now over 1%.
There is a shortage of tests everywhere. There is currently no shortage of ICU rooms nor ventilators. This will change.
Health 