Do You Trust the Numbers?
Sunday, November 1, 2015 at 2:00AM
[Positive Dennis] in Politics

According to the unemployment numbers, corporate profits, and the low inflation rate things are going well. But do you believe the numbers? Charles Hugh Smith had this comment on his blog last week

Sorry, Corporate Media: the unemployment rate and the official rate of inflation are not real. They are illusions rigged to lull the masses and enrapture the simulacrum experts living high on the hog in academia, NGOs (non-governmental organizations) and think-tanks. 

I tend to doubt conspiracy theories, but if the "powers that be" control the numbers, and the decisions about how to calculate these numbers that are made favor the "powers that be," it is not unreasonable to point this out. One of my most popular posts was several years ago where I point out that markets are manipulated. This post regularly hits my weekly list of most viewed posts, even years later.

How are these numbers manipulated?  

Inflation numbers for a particular product are regularly adjusted if there is an "improvement" in the product. This actually makes sense if the numbers are adjusted properly. Are they? I doubt it. I have been a lifelong Apple computer user, since the early 80's. But lately each update and improvement reduces my user experience. I postpone all updates as long as I can. Each time Apple has a hardware update and the specs improve, as far as the government is concerned, if the price stays the same, an improvement in the specs is a price reduction. There has been little improvement in what I use a computer for in years. Yet they supposedly cost less now than a few years ago. I am just not seeing it. I have an old computer I use for accounting because the new versions of the software I use are useless for my purposes. This is probably the last year I can do this. This will be a huge cost for me in time at the very least. (Gaming is obviously a big exception to this. The best improvements have been huge.)

Am I alone in noticing a rather dramatic reduction in quality in small appliances for the last decade? This is not necessarily bad as there has also been a dramatic reduction in price. Does the reduction in price match the reduction in quality? I have not found it so. But all the reduction in price is factored into the inflation rate. There is an old Russian saying, "I am not so rich that I can buy cheap." 

So both supposed technological improvements and a dramatic reduction in quality has artificially reduced the inflation rates.  I doubt the supposed inflation rate of 5 to 7 percent that many claim. This seems wrong, I would even say stupidly wrong. But it seems clear to me that the rate of inflation is higher than what the government claims. 

The next time I will talk about corporate profits. 

Until then ask yourself a question. Can you trust the government numbers? 

Article originally appeared on Prophecy Podcast (http://www.prophecypodcast.com/).
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