While I feel that the coming war against Iran is too dangerous, there is a moderate chance that such an attack will achieve the goals of the US and Israel.
While the report referenced below may be a fake Iran intelligence report, it seems to fit in well with Iran’s problems.
Excerpts of the report, posted this week on several Iranian websites, revealed that the government might not be able to pay the full salaries of its employees in the coming three months, which threatens the eruption of massive popular protests across the country.
Large portions of the population might suffer from starvation, the report said, adding that riots are expected to take place in border cities where living conditions are rapidly deteriorating.
According to the report, Iran’s reserve of foreign currency might run out within the coming six month owing to extreme budget deficiency.
Other official reports have stated that Iranian factories are working on only half their capacity, and that a large number of them have declared bankruptcy.
The idea is that one hard push and Iran goes over the edge. It could happen. But just as easily it could unite the Iranian people. Probably the most difficult “action” for anyone is to do nothing when that is the best play.
The risk is that oil prices will jump if Iran is attacked. I know what my target would be if I was Iran, not the Strait of Hormuz, but the Saudi oil fields. I would already have people in place. I doubt I am any smarter than Iran’s leaders.